SHOULD Biden run for a 2nd term? (1 Viewer)

[SteveSBrickNJ]

Biden has lost support from many people who voted for him in the past.
He is getting up there in age.
Here are a couple of sites I'd like to share...
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Octogenarian Biden begins new year facing age-old question on 2024 race

In the coming months, Biden faces a simple question: will he seek a second term at the end of which he would be 86?

www.theguardian.com

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Biden 2024? Most Democrats say no thank you: AP-NORC poll

A majority of Democrats now think one term is plenty for President Joe Biden, despite his insistence that he plans to seek reelection in 2024. While Biden has trumpeted his legislative victories and ability to govern, the poll suggests relatively few U.S. adults give him high marks on either...

news.yahoo.com

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WHAT DO ANY OF YOU THINK?
IS THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY BEST SERVED BY HAVING PRESIDENT BIDEN RUN FOR ANOTHER TERM OR WOULD A DIFFERENT CANDIDATE BE BETTER?

 

[UriUT]

Agree with this. It's about the turnout, and it's adjacent enthusiasm. Gw Bush's 2nd campaign strategy was not to expand his base but to excite what was already there. His low approval didn't matter to karl rove. Give his base the red meat. They were more excited and turned out.

Wonder why R s always try voter suppression...

 

[DaveXA]

Agree with this. It's about the turnout, and it's adjacent enthusiasm. Gw Bush's 2nd campaign strategy was not to expand his base but to excite what was already there. His low approval didn't matter to karl rove. Give his base the red meat. They were more excited and turned out.

Wonder why R s always try voter suppression...

They know turnout is one of the biggest determining factors of elections.

 

[Dragon]

I saw on twitter that a young student wrote that she had voted but the guys in the appartment below had not due to not preregistering. Her mother told her that they could register at the site and she and her room mate went door to door and got every one in their dorm out. 42 extra voting young people!

 

[Kath Bennett]

It seems like a recipe for fellow Democrats to privately ask him to reconsider running.
Which Republican would you prefer?

I don't think that they would dare to ask him even privately. Personally, I dislike Trump and Biden both but I also don't see any alternative for both of them. And I'm sure many people agree with me. So, they'll end up running together anyway.

 

[Bigdaddysaints]

I saw on twitter that a young student wrote that she had voted but the guys in the appartment below had not due to not preregistering. Her mother told her that they could register at the site and she and her room mate went door to door and got every one in their dorm out. 42 extra voting young people!

That is the type of thing Rs are 100% against. They do not like that type of voter inititve..If they could figure out a way to make that illegal they would..

 

[SFIDC3]

Agree with this. It's about the turnout, and it's adjacent enthusiasm. Gw Bush's 2nd campaign strategy was not to expand his base but to excite what was already there. His low approval didn't matter to karl rove. Give his base the red meat. They were more excited and turned out.

Wonder why R s always try voter suppression...

SShhhhh, I'm hoping Steve will start predicting another "red wave" soon.....it's been working out so well for the R's and their white christian nationalist wackjobs on the SC....

 

[bdb13]

And here's a seat that flipped Republican for the first time in 20 years:

Republican Ed Romaine flips Long Island's Suffolk County executive seat, pledges to bring county together

The 76-year-old Brookhaven town supervisor won the seat with 56% of the roughly 26,000 votes.

www.cbsnews.com

 

[Kath Bennett]

Democrats spend more than million dollars for financing various nonprofit organizations in Kazakhstan annually promoting its financial interests in Central Asia. Mostly, this concerns business interests of the Biden family, and, in particular, Hunter Biden's interests because he is figurehead in the firms and commercial organizations of Dems. Hunter often visited Kazakhstan and there is a possibility that president Tokayev has plenty of dirt on the entire family. Where is the guarantee that he doesn't send it to our enemies? Does it make sense to vote for Democrats anyway?
https://thegeopolitics.com/kazakhst...n-sanctions-compliance-and-peace-with-russia/
"...Tokayev called the sanctions confrontation between the West and Russia "counterproductive" in terms of preventing further erosion of international relations and deterioration of the global situation in general. "Kazakhstan is not 'anti-Russia'," he clarified; "we firmly adhere to a course of comprehensive co-operation with Russia."

 

[SteveSBrickNJ]

Democrats spend more than million dollars for financing various nonprofit organizations in Kazakhstan annually promoting its financial interests in Central Asia. Mostly, this concerns business interests of the Biden family, and, in particular, Hunter Biden's interests because he is figurehead in the firms and commercial organizations of Dems. Hunter often visited Kazakhstan and there is a possibility that president Tokayev has plenty of dirt on the entire family. Where is the guarantee that he doesn't send it to our enemies? Does it make sense to vote for Democrats anyway?
https://thegeopolitics.com/kazakhst...n-sanctions-compliance-and-peace-with-russia/
"...Tokayev called the sanctions confrontation between the West and Russia "counterproductive" in terms of preventing further erosion of international relations and deterioration of the global situation in general. "Kazakhstan is not 'anti-Russia'," he clarified; "we firmly adhere to a course of comprehensive co-operation with Russia."

Did Snarky Snark ( the banned poster ) come back in disguise as Kath Bennett?
Dear Kath Bennett, your post is similar in style to a previous poster.
Maybe just a coincidence.

 

[Taurus]

Democrats spend more than million dollars for financing various nonprofit organizations in Kazakhstan annually promoting its financial interests in Central Asia. Mostly, this concerns business interests of the Biden family, and, in particular, Hunter Biden's interests because he is figurehead in the firms and commercial organizations of Dems. Hunter often visited Kazakhstan and there is a possibility that president Tokayev has plenty of dirt on the entire family. Where is the guarantee that he doesn't send it to our enemies? Does it make sense to vote for Democrats anyway?
https://thegeopolitics.com/kazakhst...n-sanctions-compliance-and-peace-with-russia/
"...Tokayev called the sanctions confrontation between the West and Russia "counterproductive" in terms of preventing further erosion of international relations and deterioration of the global situation in general. "Kazakhstan is not 'anti-Russia'," he clarified; "we firmly adhere to a course of comprehensive co-operation with Russia."

You should tell the clowns in charge of the impeachment process. They're in dire need of evidence.

 

[Postingless]

Democrats spend more than million dollars for financing various nonprofit organizations in Kazakhstan annually promoting its financial interests in Central Asia. Mostly, this concerns business interests of the Biden family, and, in particular, Hunter Biden's interests because he is figurehead in the firms and commercial organizations of Dems. Hunter often visited Kazakhstan and there is a possibility that president Tokayev has plenty of dirt on the entire family. Where is the guarantee that he doesn't send it to our enemies? Does it make sense to vote for Democrats anyway?
https://thegeopolitics.com/kazakhst...n-sanctions-compliance-and-peace-with-russia/
"...Tokayev called the sanctions confrontation between the West and Russia "counterproductive" in terms of preventing further erosion of international relations and deterioration of the global situation in general. "Kazakhstan is not 'anti-Russia'," he clarified; "we firmly adhere to a course of comprehensive co-operation with Russia."

I don't think we need to condemn all representatives of the Democratic Party. Still, we have a definite position on how to lead the country to prosperity. But I agree that the Biden`s have discredited themself as much as possible by doing dirty business in Europe. If we talk about Kazakhstan, Joe closely communicated with the chairman of the National Security Committee of Kazakhstan, who, with the help of his influence in the country, helped Biden Jr. do business. Now Tokayev has sent the head of the National Security Committee to prison for 18 years, and the criminal case has been classified. Probably, it is from here the incriminating evidence on the family can spread.

 

[bird]

I don't think we need to condemn all representatives of the Democratic Party. Still, we have a definite position on how to lead the country to prosperity. But I agree that the Biden`s have discredited themself as much as possible by doing dirty business in Europe. If we talk about Kazakhstan, Joe closely communicated with the chairman of the National Security Committee of Kazakhstan, who, with the help of his influence in the country, helped Biden Jr. do business. Now Tokayev has sent the head of the National Security Committee to prison for 18 years, and the criminal case has been classified. Probably, it is from here the incriminating evidence on the family can spread.

Or not.

 

[Dragon]

I don't think we need to condemn all representatives of the Democratic Party. Still, we have a definite position on how to lead the country to prosperity. But I agree that the Biden`s have discredited themself as much as possible by doing dirty business in Europe. If we talk about Kazakhstan, Joe closely communicated with the chairman of the National Security Committee of Kazakhstan, who, with the help of his influence in the country, helped Biden Jr. do business. Now Tokayev has sent the head of the National Security Committee to prison for 18 years, and the criminal case has been classified. Probably, it is from here the incriminating evidence on the family can spread.

"We" You and Kath seem to know very little about the US and a lot about former russian republics. I am sure the republican party would love to see the evidence which is so convieniently "classified"

 

[J-DONK]

I don't think we need to condemn all representatives of the Democratic Party. Still, we have a definite position on how to lead the country to prosperity. But I agree that the Biden`s have discredited themself as much as possible by doing dirty business in Europe. If we talk about Kazakhstan, Joe closely communicated with the chairman of the National Security Committee of Kazakhstan, who, with the help of his influence in the country, helped Biden Jr. do business. Now Tokayev has sent the head of the National Security Committee to prison for 18 years, and the criminal case has been classified. Probably, it is from here the incriminating evidence on the family can spread.

You have to appreciate the thoughtful nature of the smearing, and the soft acknowledgement of their own sins. They take real issues like Kushner's "investment fund" backed by 2 billion from MBS. The fact Kushner was a member of the administration, and all the troublesome acts MBS enacted with possibly the aid of Kushner. You take that real situation, and try to play shadow puppets with Hunter Biden. You mirror Kushner, and turn Hunter into some Democrat princeling who steers foreign policy. You try as hard as possibly to mirror a very real scandal with as much smoke, and mirrors as you can. The smart won't fall for it, but that's not who votes for you anyways.

 

[Optimus Prime]

One of the strongest candidates for US president in 2024 may be one who’s not yet in the race. There’s growing evidence that Gavin Newsom, the charismatic and energetic Democratic governor of California, is running something of a shadow campaign to Joe Biden and ready to step up if, or when, the incumbent is out of the running.

Several developments in recent days suggest Newsom, who romped to re-election a year ago without really campaigning, is ready to bring forward what was already expected to be a strong run for the presidency in 2028.

There are mounting concerns inside the Democratic party, matching polling among voters, that Biden is too old for a second term, the start of which in January 2025 would see him two months past his 82nd birthday if re-elected. Some want him to stand down.

Newsom, 56, is among a generation of younger, prominent and popular Democrats expected to emerge from the shadow of the old guard, and has stolen a march on his peers with a series of bold moves many analysts see as strategic.

Even movie star Arnold Schwarzenegger, himself a Republican former two-term governor of California, thinks a Newsom run at the White House is inevitable.

“I think it’s a no-brainer. Every governor from a big state wants to take that shot,” Schwarzenegger said earlier this year.

But not all Democrats appear thrilled at the prospect. Pennsylvania US senator John Fetterman, at a dinner in Iowa, connected Newsom with Dean Philips, a congressman who said he is challenging Biden.

“[There are two] running for president right now,” he said. “One is a congressman from Minnesota, the other is the governor of California, but only one has the guts to announce it.”

This week, Newsom made a financial donation to a Democratic mayoral candidate in Charleston, South Carolina, 2,800 miles from his governor’s mansion in Sacramento. Reaching into political elections in other states is, experts say, a sure sign of a potential presidential candidate wishing to raise their profile on the national stage……..

Newsom 2024: could the California governor be a rival to Joe Biden?

Amid concern over the president’s poll ratings, Gavin Newsom appears to be running something of a shadow campaign

www.theguardian.com

 

[SteveSBrickNJ]

Poll: A majority of Democrats want new candidate to challenge Biden in 2024 primary

Only 28% of Democrats say they don’t want someone to mount a primary challenge against the president.

www.yahoo.com

 

[UriUT]

To reinforce how far from reality Trump is, here's an article discussing what is the root cause of China's economic stagnation. One argued it's Xi's autocratic intrusion resulting in less private investment and more state investment, while relying heavily on foreign investment. Now that foreign investments are pulling out, China has a problem, along with a debt crisis resulting from a real-estate market crash and the Belt and Road Initiative.

Who Killed the Chinese Economy?

Zongyuan Zoe Liu, Michael Pettis, and Adam Posen debate the contested causes of stagnation.

www.foreignaffairs.com

 

[Optimus Prime]

The 2024 presidential election is just under a year out and it looks almost certain that, despite the fact that the supermajority of voters in both parties do not want it, we will be getting a rematch of the 2020 election. Poll after poll indicate this will be a very tight race, one where former President Donald Trump is often favored to win a second, nonconsecutive, term.

So too are political pundits routinely calling President Joe Biden a weak incumbent, in danger of losing to his once and future foe. I would however take a contrarian view of the state of the race, issuing a call to ignore the polls and the pundits because Biden is cruising to reelection.

The evidence suggesting Biden is in trouble rests almost entirely on polls. Granted, the polls are painting a clear picture that this race will be close. However, research has made equally clear that polling a year out from a presidential election is notoriously unreliable. At this point in past election cycles, polls frequently saw the likes of Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama as either being in tight races or outright underdogs for reelection, yet all these men went on to secure second terms.

A chief reason for polls not being especially reliable a year out from an election is that they are nothing more than snapshots of the present. They are not crystal balls showing the future. The fact is that most Americans, more than 3 in 4, aren't paying much or any attention to politics right now. That will change as the presidential election nears, but not until we get into its home stretch.

For now, presidential match-up polls are little more a reflection of a general dissatisfaction with the status quo. Once we get much closer to the election, the underlying calculus changes and the polls will become a much more accurate reflection of the actual choice voters intend to make in November.

We also cannot forget that incumbency is still a strength, one enjoyed by Biden but not by Trump. Most incumbents win when they seek a second term, all else equal. That is especially true when economic conditions are fair to good, which by all metrics is currently the case.

After all, the economy is roaring ahead with phenomenal growth rates, the war on inflation is all but over, and it happened while maintaining historically low levels of unemployment. The fundamentals of election prediction, most of which are tied to economic indicators such as these, are all pointing to a comfortable Biden victory in 2024.

Democrats, meanwhile, have continued to over-perform expectations in election after election ever since Trump took office in 2016. That has been particularly true since the Dobbs decision was issued by the Supreme Court, turning Republicans into the dog that caught the car.

Abortion will no doubt continue act as an anchor to the GOP's electoral prospects, especially when the presidential nominee Republicans put up is directly responsible for nominating the very Supreme Court justices that gutted abortion rights in America.

Speaking of electoral anchors, Trump himself has chronically underperformed compared to what we would expect from a generic Republican in both of his prior elections. Moreover, the man has been electoral poison to Republicans in general elections since leaving office. The Trump brand, such as it is, is just not selling to anyone not already in the MAGA movement.................

MSN