Midterm projections. (6 Viewers)

[SamAndreas]

I've voted and election day is something like 5 or so days away. That means it's time for projections as to how it goes this time.

Usually I have a good sense, and good track record for being right using the simple time proven system of "who's turn it is". That's the method where one ignores everything about the current issues, and who is running. One only uses who's the incumbent along with the last election's outcome to predict the next election.

Under that simple system this upcoming midterm election is a case of it historically being the Republican's turn.

But this time it doesn't quite fit that normal mode. Trump threw it all out of whack. Republicans seem to be entirely capable of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory this time. So instead of thinking that the Republicans are going to win this one, I don't know.

That's my projection. I Don't Know. I'm a bit hopeful this time instead of being adjusted to the idea that the Republicans are going to win this one for sure.

 

[MT15]

Warnock isn’t losing. He will hit 50% and will not need a runoff

Well, crap. I may have been early to think this. Maybe a runoff after all.

 

[SteveSBrickNJ]

Kinzinger is out of forks to give:

Fox News's "Hard News" division is the best.
Forget their opinion spinning talking heads that appear on regular nights.
I never watch them.
Yet on election night, Brett Baier and Martha M do a great job.
Their "decision desk" seems to just try to get it correct.
Not trying to elevate Republican candidates.
Just...get...it...correct.

 

[MT15]

Just saw this on Twitter:

 

[MT15]

Are they saying anything about how the House will go, Steve?

 

[J-DONK]

 

[MT15]

This makes me feel a bit better. Would love it if Warnock could inch up above 50%. Walker belongs nowhere near the Senate:

 

[DaveXA]

Fox News's "Hard News" division is the best.
Forget their opinion spinning talking heads that appear on regular nights.
I never watch them.
Yet on election night, Brett Baier and Martha M do a great job.
Their "decision desk" seems to just try to get it correct.
Not trying to elevate Republican candidates.
Just...get...it...correct.

Yep, been flipping back and forth between Fox and CNN, and surprisingly, Fox has been taking their time in making the calls. There was a lot of whining when they called Arizona for the Democrats last time and it was really early. They turned out to have made the right call, but was closer than first thought.

 

[MT15]

Come on, GA, get rid of Walker today!

 

[MT15]

I really should go to bed, lol

 

[DaveXA]

This makes me feel a bit better. Would love it if Warnock could inch up above 50%. Walker belongs nowhere near the Senate:

Yea, he's close. 49.4% at latest count. There are enough outstanding votes that might get him there. It's gonna be close.

 

[GrandAdmiral]

Come on, GA, get rid of Walker today!

I imagine it'll happen as the remaining votes seem to be coming in from the urban areas like Cobb and Dekalb counties.

 

[MT15]

NBC just called PA senate for Fetterman!

and:

 

[GrandAdmiral]

I really should go to bed, lol

Ummmmm...

 

[MT15]

Preliminarily, it looks like the youth vote finally turned up in some places and may have made the difference. Makes me proud of them!

 

[SaulGoodmanEsq]

It's strange that Kansas will seemingly reelect its Democrat governor yet keep sending Republicans to the Senate.

 

[GrandAdmiral]

It's strange that Kansas will seemingly reelect its Democrat governor yet keep sending Republicans to the Senate.

Sounds like what happened here with JBE. Landry will be sure to correct that.

 

[DaveXA]

It's strange that Kansas will seemingly reelect its Democrat governor yet keep sending Republicans to the Senate.

Yeah, I noticed that as well. Go figure.

 

[MT15]

This guy has been calling this (lack of red wave) for over a month now.