General Election 2024 Harris vs Trump (10 Viewers)

[SamAndreas]

Today it begins, Kamala has reached the point that she's the Democratic Party nominee:

There's video from today. this link has video from her first public appearance since Biden endorsed her:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/22/live-updates-harris-democrats-biden-drops-out-trump-campaign.html

She spent yesterday on the telephone for most of the day. I read that yesterday that she called the party leaders in all 50 states. That would take me three days.

She's renamed her YouTube channel, that's the where to go for video: https://www.youtube.com/@kamalaharris

This is her video on her channel from two hours ago:



To play it, start it, and then move it up to 5:47. This was one of those live videos which don't start at zero.

I've named this thread General Election 2024 Harris vs Trump

Trump needs an introduction post as well, a MAGA suporter ought to write it: @Farb, @SaintForLife , @Others, calling for someone to please introduce your GOP candidate for this 2024 general election thread.

 

[samiam5211]

53 percent of young men support Trump.

41 percent of women support Trump.

A random young man isn’t much more likely to support Trump than an random woman.

 

[Optimus Prime]

I agree with this. I've never understood the idea that Trump is "tough". He just reeks of insecurity to me. He whines all the time. Tweets like a hormonal teenager. Basically, every trait of someone who is deeply, deeply insecure. He should just be called out on it...

He is a cross between a cowardly lion kind of bully and the emperor has no clothes

 

[SamAndreas]

He's a Criminal.

 

[wardorican]

If you go by these ad buys, it looks like Trump isn’t really contesting MI, NV, AZ, NC, or WI.

That or they're coordinating with the super PACs. Lots of ads being played in AZ. Kinda odd since they're all pretty close.

 

[wardorican]

To be fair I posted a link to the White House where those policies are at that same time you last looked. I said where to look, you apparently didn't look.

Priorities | The White House

President Biden will deliver bold action and immediate relief for American families as the country grapples with converging crises. This will include

www.whitehouse.gov

I don't understand why folks get hung up on things like this. Those policies at the White House even have her name on them. They are the official Biden-Harris policies.

I would not be reasonable for her to change them just so she has her own. It doesn't matter if good policies are used policies. Having been used before is an indication that they are useful policies. Keep using what works.

Biden's name on them as well doesn't hurt a thing. in fact it's a better thing, he approves of them too. It's all fine and dandy.

I'm not hung up on it. I simply stated her campaign website had none of this.

Even if it's on the official Whitehouse page, it would be better for it to be on her campaign website. Or a mention, at least.

 

[FullMonte]

I agree with this. I've never understood the idea that Trump is "tough". He just reeks of insecurity to me. He whines all the time. Tweets like a hormonal teenager. Basically, every trait of someone who is deeply, deeply insecure. He should just be called out on it...

All it takes is to go back to his first meeting with Putin. Afterwards, at a joint press conference, he was asked about Russia interfering in our election, and his response was that Putin denied it, and "I can't see any reason why it would be Russia." Then, when he got home, and Putin wasn't standing right next to him, it became, "I meant to say I can't see any reason why it wouldn't be them." Because...yeah...that's something a person would say. "Sir, did you ask him about Russia's attempts to interfere in our election?" "Well, I can't see any reason why it wouldn't be them." Sounds normal.

 

[SamAndreas]

This line is funny:

"Meghan McCain is the Sarah Huckabee Sanders of Ann Coulters."

 

[MT15]

Evidently a retired policeman in FL is pushing false stories about Harris that seem to originate in Russia. He’s done it before.

 

[SamAndreas]

I noticed people were talking about Nate Silver today. This article applies to that talk and the state of the race talk which brought him up:

There’s no “normal” in this election

Why Harris is leading in our polling averages — but not in our forecast. And why it’s hard to know where we’re headed next.

www.natesilver.net

Little known fact, Slivers polling average shows Harris ahead, but Slivers prediction is for the Criminal by 55 to a Harris 44 percent.

I know for a fact that Sliver is a Libertarian with GOP leanings. What he appears to like best in life is gambling, he wants to be the odds setter for primarily sports betting. Politics is just a sideline to that.

 

[MT15]

I noticed people were talking about Nate Silver today. This article applies to that talk and the state of the race talk which brought him up:

There’s no “normal” in this election

Why Harris is leading in our polling averages — but not in our forecast. And why it’s hard to know where we’re headed next.

www.natesilver.net

Little known fact, Slivers polling average shows Harris ahead, but Slivers prediction is for the Criminal by 55 to a Harris 44 percent.

I know for a fact that Sliver is a Libertarian with GOP leanings. What he appears to like best in life is gambling, he wants to be the odds setter for primarily sports betting. Politics is just a sideline to that.

He’s actually working for a betting site now that sets odds on the election.

 

[MT15]

This is who Trump “fell in love” with. What an embarrassment for the GOP.

 

[Nebaghead]

I noticed people were talking about Nate Silver today. This article applies to that talk and the state of the race talk which brought him up:

There’s no “normal” in this election

Why Harris is leading in our polling averages — but not in our forecast. And why it’s hard to know where we’re headed next.

www.natesilver.net

Little known fact, Slivers polling average shows Harris ahead, but Slivers prediction is for the Criminal by 55 to a Harris 44 percent.

I know for a fact that Sliver is a Libertarian with GOP leanings. What he appears to like best in life is gambling, he wants to be the odds setter for primarily sports betting. Politics is just a sideline to that.

What facts do you have? I’ve been following 538 since the site came out and he has never come off as supporting the right in that time.
It was 52-48 Harris last week but he called out the convention bounce adjustment and a poor set of polls from PA. He also stated many of the polls have not been high quality and that will change over the next week.
This is similar to a last minute score at the half and the odds change but it doesn’t mean the momentum and play for the previous half is thrown out the window. If Harris doesn’t loose ground on the polls coming out in the swing states, she will flip back to a high 50’s odds which is a toss up.

 

[SamAndreas]

Laura Trump has released a music video. Fortunately this is just a few seconds long promo teaser. Maybe it's even a crypto thing tease

 

[SamAndreas]

What facts do you have? I’ve been following 538 since the site came out and he has never come off as supporting the right in that time.
It was 52-48 Harris last week but he called out the convention bounce adjustment and a poor set of polls from PA. He also stated many of the polls have not been high quality and that will change over the next week.
This is similar to a last minute score at the half and the odds change but it doesn’t mean the momentum and play for the previous half is thrown out the window. If Harris doesn’t loose ground on the polls coming out in the swing states, she will flip back to a high 50’s odds which is a toss up.

The facts I have about his political leaning came from what I once read that he wrote. He said he is a Libertarian. And one time he said he leans to the GOP. I went to his old 538 site before the fancy one that he's no longer at. Back then I read everything he posted.

He's pretty good at doing the non bias thing, but the thing is he has a bias.

The kind of person who would like working in a polling house aren't going to be liberals. Nor will we much ever populate a police station.

 

[MT15]

53 percent of young men support Trump.

41 percent of women support Trump.

A random young man isn’t much more likely to support Trump than a random woman.

I’m guessing it would be considered statistically significantly. Also why do you refuse to compare like ages? Why no comparing young men vs young women? I’m not sure what you’re saying.

 

[MT15]

That or they're coordinating with the super PACs. Lots of ads being played in AZ. Kinda odd since they're all pretty close.

I forgot you moved. Great! You can be our source for the inside scoop in AZ.

 

[MT15]

This should be common knowledge. But MAGA world is convinced Harris will bring communism and financial ruin so it doesn’t hurt to have it reported like this.

Goldman Sachs predicts stronger GDP and job growth if Democrats sweep White House and Congress

Trump’s likely tariff hikes on China, the EU and Mexico would lead to an inflationary bump, with a peak impact of 30 to 40 basis points on the Federal Reserve’s preferred price gauge, the bank’s economists wrote.

fortune.com

 

[MT15]

Voter registration data in for NC. Trend still holding. Voter registrations for women and younger voters is up compared to 4 years ago.