The Officially Unofficial 2020 Georgia Senate Runoff Elections Armageddon Thread (1 Viewer)

[SaulGoodmanEsq]

Control of the Senate is on the line. Assuming the current numbers will stand on recount, only 1.9% of the vote (90,295 votes) separated Republican incumbent David Perdue from his Democratic challenger, Jon Ossof. The third place Libertarian candidate received 2.3% of the vote (144,566 votes). In the special election, Raphael Warnock led the pack with 32.9% of the vote trailed by incumbent Kelly Loeffler who received 25.9% of the vote. Doug Collins, the other major GOP candidate, finished with 20% of the vote. Various other Democrat candidates finished with a combined 15.5% of the vote. Various other GOP candidates finished with 3.4% and roughly 2% for independent candidates.

Andrew Yang has posted that he will be moving to Georgia to help campaign for Ossof and Warnock.

 

[DaveXA]

Maybe. The final RCP Avg. had Osoff .0.7, and Perdue won by 1.7

Since there were a lot of people in the other race it's a touch harder to gauge. It had it at Warnock 40.5, Loeffler 24.8, and it ended up 32.9 to 25.9.

So really they weren't that far off on the Osoff race, but they missed Warnock by a country mile.

I'm not making a call right now. I think a lot can change between now and runoff election day.

Oh yeah, there's plenty of time for shenanigans and everything else between now and the runoff, not the least of which is the electors voting, which, presumably would finish off the questions about the Presidential election. Oddly enough, the EC votes don't technically get counted until Jan 6th, the day after the runoff, lol. I guess we'll see.

 

[insidejob]

So, since Perdue says that Biden won the election, how bad does Trump try to screw them both (because why not both of them?) at the BIG RALLY SATURDAY?

 

[J-DONK]

Maybe. The final RCP Avg. had Osoff .0.7, and Perdue won by 1.7

Since there were a lot of people in the other race it's a touch harder to gauge. It had it at Warnock 40.5, Loeffler 24.8, and it ended up 32.9 to 25.9.

So really they weren't that far off on the Osoff race, but they missed Warnock by a country mile.

I'm not making a call right now. I think a lot can change between now and runoff election day.

The party insiders are probably privy to the actual early vote totals, or at least how they lean. My canary is if McConnell suddenly wants to get a deal done with Pelosi. That means the data coming in from GA isn't good for Republicans.

 

[Goatman saint]

The party insiders are probably privy to the actual early vote totals, or at least how they lean. My canary is if McConnell suddenly wants to get a deal done with Pelosi. That means the data coming in from GA isn't good for Republicans.

How could it be? The democrats are on an absolute mission while the Trumpettes are talking of skipping or writing in Trumps name on the ballot. Which I really really hope and support them in doing. Stick it to the republicans who won’t back trump. That will show them!!

 

[MT15]

I’m not sure the movement to boycott the runoff has any real following, tbh. There were only about 1,000 people attending the rally where Lin Wood brought that up. Not all of them are “true believers”, presumably, who will follow that advice. Moscow Mitch’s PAC is pouring money into the state to get out the vote.

Trump is saying the right things now about how important it is for everyone to get out and support the two R senators. We shall see how well he stays on message.

I’m not saying this stupidity has zero chance of suppressing R voters, just that it seems like a long shot to me that it will sway the race.

 

[DaveXA]

I’m not sure the movement to boycott the runoff has any real following, tbh. There were only about 1,000 people attending the rally where Lin Wood brought that up. Not all of them are “true believers”, presumably, who will follow that advice. Moscow Mitch’s PAC is pouring money into the state to get out the vote.

Trump is saying the right things now about how important it is for everyone to get out and support the two R senators. We shall see how well he stays on message.

I’m not saying this stupidity has zero chance of suppressing R voters, just that it seems like a long shot to me that it will sway the race.

Indeed. If it's only a few thousand knuckleheads writing in Trump's name, it's really not gonna make much difference. The runoff is gonna hinge on turnout as it usually does. I think it's ultimately gonna be very close. If they voted today, I think it would be a toss up. But, I suspect the calculus might change in January.

 

[GrandAdmiral]

I actually might sit down and watch the Warnock/Loeffler debate CNN is going to air. Was this supposed to be the one where all four were supposed to appear until Perdue cancelled?

 

[GrandAdmiral]

Anyone else watching the debate tonight?

 

[brandon]

Anyone else watching the debate tonight?

Loeffler is a propaganda bot. This is absurd.

 

[GrandAdmiral]

Loeffler is a propaganda bot. This is absurd.

Same thing I was thinking. She just stand there looking like she's reading from cue cards written by the Trump campaign.

 

[GrandAdmiral]

Girlfriend said it perfectly. She seems like a real-life Stepford wife.

 

[GrandAdmiral]

Meanwhile, at the Perdue/Ossoff debate...

 

[zztop]

Loeffler is a propaganda bot. This is absurd.

yeah that "scary radical socialist" card is getting pretty old

 

[insidejob]

yeah that "scary radical socialist" card is getting pretty old

"Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock. Radical liberal Raphael Warnock."

She lived up to Trump's expectations of her though. We all know he's got some masterful debate skills himself.

 

[insidejob]

Never before seen video of the debates:

 

[J-DONK]

Does anyone really think there will be a split in votes at all? I feel like Loeffler and Perdue will either both win, or both lose. I really believe this will be a hyper-partisan race, and candidate quality won't matter as much.

 

[MT15]

I would disagree. I could see Warnock winning and Ossoff losing. That’s been what I have been thinking will happen. Who knows, though?

 

[Saint by the Bay]

Does anyone really think there will be a split in votes at all? I feel like Loeffler and Perdue will either both win, or both lose. I really believe this will be a hyper-partisan race, and candidate quality won't matter as much.

Loeffler is not well liked, even by Republicans. She has never won an election, she was appointed. I think there’s a strong possibility of enough split votes for her to lose (3-5%).