Election Night (+4) in America - Result: Biden Elected President (17 Viewers)

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    I know we're all mad at 538 right now, but they have a blurb about it on their blob. I can't find a way to direct link to it:

    Are you talking about Nate Silver saying once it hits .5 in PA and it’s out of recount range they will call it.
     
    Yeah since there no proof of anything wrong, but some people feel there is, let’s just recite next week in those states Trump is losing now... :rolleyes:







    😂



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    Nate's cool. It's not entirely his fault the polls were skewed. Love his podcasts and his whole team. Decided to buy a Fivey Fox shirt to support them! Seems like only a few hundred were sold before they shut down the buying window so I'm a special snowflake!
     
    So if that’s approximately right, Biden probably just needs to net another 25,000 out of the remaining 90,000 to get over 50,000 ahead (not unreasonable — that’s just getting about 63%, when he’s been getting more). That would require 3/4 of the provisional ballots to be for Trump, which is unlikely.
    Biden is winning 75% of mail-in so far so he should get about ~70k of the mail-in votes or +50k over Trump. About 50% of provisional ballots are from blue counties so Trump winning 3/4 ain’t happening. I think the networks are just being careful because who they are dealing with.
     
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    I know we're all mad at 538 right now, but they have a blurb about it on their blob. I can't find a way to direct link to it:


    I think most people are mad at 538 because the polls were so far off again but that isn't entirely their fault. There's something fundamentally wrong with polling in this country and they failed to correct for it in the aggregate again.

    The polling and their aggregate were off by around 8 points in Florida. That's way outside of polling error. They even wrote a post before the election talking about why it could be wrong which turned out to be true. That means they knew there was a problem and they failed to adequately account for uncertainty they knew existed.
     
    Yeah since there no proof of anything wrong, but some people feel there is, let’s just recite next week in those states Trump is losing now... :rolleyes:



    ... because that is how we keep our democracy, by voting over and over again, until you get the results you want.

    What a dumbass. But then, Walker was in Trump ads telling the world how much of a family man Trump is.
     
    What a dumbass. But then, Walker was in Trump ads telling the world how much of a family man Trump is.





    Man, if you’d have told me when i was a kid back in the early 1980s watching the New Orleans Breakers play the New Jersey Generals in the USFL, that the star running back, along with the owner of the team & league, would be conspiring to rig a Presidential election in the year 2020.. I probably woulda gone back to playing my Atari 2600 and thought you were a weirdo.
     
    Are you talking about Nate Silver saying once it hits .5 in PA and it’s out of recount range they will call it.

    There should have been a post about the provisional ballots that linked directly to.

    Nate's cool. It's not entirely his fault the polls were skewed. Love his podcasts and his whole team. Decided to buy a Fivey Fox shirt to support them! Seems like only a few hundred were sold before they shut down the buying window so I'm a special snowflake!
    I think most people are mad at 538 because the polls were so far off again but that isn't entirely their fault. There's something fundamentally wrong with polling in this country and they failed to correct for it in the aggregate again.

    The polling and their aggregate were off by around 8 points in Florida. That's way outside of polling error. They even wrote a post before the election talking about why it could be wrong which turned out to be true. That means they knew there was a problem and they failed to adequately account for uncertainty they knew existed.

    Yea I was being a bit (bit haha) tongue in cheek.
     
    The lead in Pennsylvania just updated to 28,883. That may be the last update tonight.
     
    The lead in Pennsylvania just updated to 28,883. That may be the last update tonight.

    Sounded like they're done counting for the night. This is over though. The media seems like they want to wait for word of Trump conceding before they'll call anything and we all know that ain't happening.
     
    Sounded like they're done counting for the night. This is over though. The media seems like they want to wait for word of Trump conceding before they'll call anything and we all know that ain't happening.
    I think just about anyone other than Trump would have seen the writing on the wall and conceded today.
     

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