Louisiana Governor election gameday thread (Edwards wins) (1 Viewer)

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The race for Louisiana Governor between democrat John Bel Edwards and republican Eddie Rispone, which is drawing national attention and a ton of outside money, gets decided tomorrow.

Rispone has smartly hitched his wagon to Donald Trump, hoping to make the race a referendum on Trump in a very red state, evidently not wanting to have the race focus on a comparison of qualifications. His commercials focus on painting Edwards as a liberal. Only in Louisiana can a pro life, pro second amendment former green beret like Edwards be called a liberal.

Edwards is a good guy, I hope he wins. I sat with him for a few innings at the LSU Army baseball game. He was wearing Army gear, I didn’t know he played baseball for Army at West Point. He did have on purple socks as a nod to LSU.

It will be an interesting race. Millions of dollars from outside the state have poured in. Trump has been in the state at least twice , stumping for Rispone. Taking a page from Trump attacking McCain, Rispone has even attacked Edward’s military service. Did Rispone have bone spurs too?

Most are predicting a close race. Maybe it’s just wishful thinking, but I see Edwards winning with about 52% of the vote. The returns should start coming in around the time the LSU game ends.
 

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FiveThirtyEight has the race as super close with Edwards averaging a 2% lead. Tomorrow will be sunny and 60F so there is no excuse for a low turnout. The national talking points will be either:
  • Trump impeachment spurs LA Republican voters to show up for Rispone
  • Edwards remains as the legacy of Jindal is too much for Rispone to overcome

 
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FiveThirtyEight has the race as super close with Edwards averaging a 2% lead. Tomorrow will be sunny and 60F so there is no excuse for a low turnout. The national talking points will be either:
  • Trump impeachment spurs LA Republican voters to show up for Rispone
  • Edwards remains as the legacy of Jindal is too much for Rispone to overcome


I agree. I might add that the challenge for Rispone is to get the Abraham voters out. He went after Abraham pretty hard. That might cost him. I doubt many Abraham voters vote for Edwards, but will some stay home out of dislike for Rispone or apathy? We will see. Rispone needs most all Abraham voters to win.
 
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Well I live in Virginia sooooooooooooooooo I'll be doing absentee for JBE :LOL:

Bob, it’s a Louisiana election so of course you can vote. As we say here, vote early and vote often. :). There is quite the shortage of five dollar bills on Election Day where I live. Seriously.
 

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There are a lot of things that I don't agree with Edwards on but I give the man credit for turning the state around from the mess that Jindal and company put it in. I'm not a letter voter. I voted for Jindal the first time because I thought he would be good for the state. I proved to be wrong. I voted for Edwards because I thought his ideas and his stances would help the state turn around. In four years he's done that. Rispone's "I support Trump" campaign hasn't shown anything to me that says he's more qualified or capable of improving on the improvements the JBE has made. I really hope that letter voters won't send us back to the Jindal days of arse-last in everything.
 

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You know, oh Dotless One, I once mentioned that I was covering the Edwards/Treen election and there were people walking around with the corner of a $5 bill sticking up from their shirt pocket. I explained what the local folks in Jonesboro said that was about, I got an earful of angry denials from the people I was talking with. :hihi:

Yeah, that's totally Louisiana in a nutshell, especially around Winnfield.

Like BobE, I'm on the outside looking in, watching my home state's election from Mississippi.
I was so involved with Louisiana politics for so long that I just can't ignore it completely.
As a military retiree, I find Edwards' credentials impeccable. He knows the deal and he's going to take care of veterans. Enlightened self-interest would cause me to vote for him on that count alone.
Rispone? Never heard of him before this election. His main talking point is that he is a Trump-ist.
Yeesh. I don't like Johnny-come-lately coat-tail politicians.
Edwards, If I were voting.
 

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Rispone has got to be running the worst campaign I’ve ever seen. I’ve seen literally one of his ads that isn’t just “Donald Trump is cool and JBE is a liberal” (the I know how to bring jobs to LA being the outlier).

That isn’t a policy, my dude, it’s coattail riding. It’s miserable that he’s that close to JBE with that empty platform.

Had Abraham been in this runoff, I think he wins. The Rispone voters still would have went Abraham, but Rispone’s total lack of credentials may keep some of those Abraham voters home.
 

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I expect Rispone to win in a squeaker. His entire campaign has been nothing but humping Trump's leg and screaming that Edwards, whose views on most of the national hot topic issues (abortion and guns particularly) are pretty conservative, is a communist liberal who will kill all the babies and steal all your guns and bankrupt your bosses. I'd like to believe that Louisiana voters are smart enough not to fall for that. Unfortunately, I don't actually believe they are.

Once the vote count "game" starts, Rispone will lead comfortably for a couple of hours until the notoriously late Orleans Parish totals are reported to the Secretary of State. Orleans voted something like 87/10 Clinton/Trump in 2016 and I do think the referendum on Trump angle will bring out an awful lot of voters to give him the thumbs down. Could that be enough? Maybe, but I wouldn't bet money on it.
 
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I expect Rispone to win in a squeaker. His entire campaign has been nothing but humping Trump's leg and screaming that Edwards, whose views on most of the national hot topic issues (abortion and guns particularly) are pretty conservative, is a communist liberal who will kill all the babies and steal all your guns and bankrupt your bosses. I'd like to believe that Louisiana voters are smart enough not to fall for that. Unfortunately, I don't actually believe they are.

Once the vote count "game" starts, Rispone will lead comfortably for a couple of hours until the notoriously late Orleans Parish totals are reported to the Secretary of State. Orleans voted something like 87/10 Clinton/Trump in 2016 and I do think the referendum on Trump angle will bring out an awful lot of voters to give him the thumbs down. Could that be enough? Maybe, but I wouldn't bet money on it.

You could be right. That was the theory, though, when Edwards ran against Vitter. No would be with a “d” by their name could win a statewide election in La. That’s what I thought. That’s what I told my partner when he first started supporting Edwards. I was friends with Dardenne at the time who I thought was our best chance to have a moderate Governor.

Vitter turned out to be the perfect republican candidate for Edwards to beat, an unlikable guy who angered all his republican rivals and made Edwards palatable.

I do think a strong Republican candidate, like Kennedy might have been, would beat Edwards. I don’t see Rispone as being strong at all, other than him being smart enough to make the election a Trump referendum.

I also think Edwards has more election gameday experience. He knows how to get his vote out. Risoone has experienced consultants working with him too. We shall see. I am still thinking Edwards wins, maybe hoping is the better word.
 

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Rispone's total lack of any platform other than "I support Trump and JBE is a commie liberal" is pathetic. If he actually wins this election, especially with how conservative JBE really is and has proven to be, I'll be embarrassed (again) to say I live in Louisiana. I hate a lot of the things JBE has done - especially when it comes to abortion - but he did fix the $2 billion deficit Jindal left him and he deserves an attaboy and reelection for that alone, IMO. It is downright party before state with Rispone and we see how well that's working out nationally. Unfortunately, the majority of LA voters think Trump is God incarnate.
 
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I just voted. At least in the governor’s race my vote counts. It will not count in the presidential election. The electoral college is outdated to me.

Everyone’s vote should count. Why shouldn’t the president be the one with the most votes? I say this not just because Trump won without the popular vote but rather because everyone should be motivated to go vote and think their vote counts. It cuts both ways. I would imagine there are a lot of conservatives in historically blue states who feel the same way.
 

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I just voted. At least in the governor’s race my vote counts. It will not count in the presidential election. The electoral college is outdated to me.

Everyone’s vote should count. Why shouldn’t the president be the one with the most votes? I say this not just because Trump won without the popular vote but rather because everyone should be motivated to go vote and think their vote counts. It cuts both ways. I would imagine there are a lot of conservatives in historically blue states who feel the same way.
Because it just makes too much sense. The electoral college was formed in part because vote counts were being carried across the country on friggin horseback. We don't have issues like that anymore.
 

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In the runoff, there were 498,000 early voters as of Wednesday night—an increase of 112,000 from October. Of those early voters, Couvillon identified 60,000 newvoters, who hadn’t turned out in October. Forty-one percent of those new voters, he said, are black, and 29 percent are Republican—meaning the group is much blacker and less Republican than the overall electorate, “much like the Obama phenomenon.” Under Louisiana law, voters identify their race when they cast their ballot.

“You have this group of 60,000 that showed up out of nowhere,” he says, “and they’re much more Democrat-friendly. Republicans think Democrats are just getting them to the polls a week early. My thinking is that Democrats expanded the pie.”
This sounds promising. Carville is a solid source on interpreting LA politics.

 

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Voted. Took about 10 minutes to get in and out. Would have taken less if the little old ladies hadn't stopped to visit with everyone close to their age. However, the line was about 15 people long when I got there, about 20 when I left. This was around 1:45pm in Monroe. Get out and vote people, its a beautiful day, no excuses.
 

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I just voted. At least in the governor’s race my vote counts. It will not count in the presidential election. The electoral college is outdated to me.

Everyone’s vote should count. Why shouldn’t the president be the one with the most votes? I say this not just because Trump won without the popular vote but rather because everyone should be motivated to go vote and think their vote counts. It cuts both ways. I would imagine there are a lot of conservatives in historically blue states who feel the same way.
I’m with you. My disdain for the electoral college goes back further than 2016 - it’s why I never voted before then, it felt pointless.
 

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