Election Night (+4) in America - Result: Biden Elected President (7 Viewers)

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    My 15 yo is really stressed right now. The last 4 years have been so hard on them and the thought of going through more of that is hard. I’m staying positive at home (not as much online) to try and encourage them but man, it sucks knowing you can’t do anything about their pain and feelings of isolation.
    I know it means nothing, but my family in Alabama feel for yours and will continue fight the behavior that isolates families like yours.
     
    I am coming back to see if anyone else is ready to call this for trump.

    He has an 88% chance of winning North Carolina and that makes the election a tossup. Biden isn’t flipping any states so far and his leads are dwindling.

    paper bag?!? I need a Thorazine Big Gulp
     
    I had some money on Biden here yesterday. I always get confused by the American method of odds but the betting agencies here publish figures based on a $1 outlay. Anyway, Biden was $1.60 yesterday (so $160 return on my $100 bet, including the stake).

    Biden has drifted way out. Trump has come in from like $2.72 to $1.50. With Brexit, the 2016 US election and the Australian federal election, in each case, involving a populist underdog candidate/cause, the betting agencies had the figures corrected the quickest. $1.50 is as good as calling it for Trump, which is making me terribly anxious.

    EDIT: Now into $1.35. Holy heck, he's going to be re-elected.

    What sorcery is this?
     
    Fair enough. Although Robert Cahaly, the head of Trafalgar, is clearly a partisan actor based on his past employment.

    i am actually in agreement with you. And Silver. When it comes to that schmuck.

    it’s just not a good look. I’d for sure trust Silver over the Saloon Barkeep Westworld Extra

    But I think there may be something to be learned from their methodology. At the very least it’s an audacious attempt to mock someone as a hack but he ends up being right twice in two key states that you mucked up.
     
    Biden lead in Ohio is gone. Not sure what John King on CNN was referring to unless large urban areas have yet to be counter.
     
    About 15 minutes ago King on CNN said that the votes left to count in Ohio favor Biden. He said only twenty something percent of the early or mail in vote had been counted.
    Ohio started counting the mail-in votes today. Only 41% of the vote is early vote, but they expect 53% to be early votes, so Biden should widen his lead in Ohio. Conversely, I think North Carolina has counted most of their early votes, so Trump should win it, but that isn't surprising. The thing is that no one thought Ohio was in play.

    Florida is the big disappointment. I'm Cuban, but I don't get my fellow Cubans not understanding how Trump is a wanna-be dictator, just like Fidel and Batista. The fear of socialism is ridiculous. I'm disappointed at how gullible they are.
     
    Ohio back to Biden by the slimmest of margins. It wasn’t supposed to be this close.
     

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