Other Election Races 2024 (1 Viewer)

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    Nebaghead

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    Creating this thread to talk about other random races throughout the country that don’t warrant their own thread.

    Starting it off with the governor race in NC. The GOP candidate Robinson is ultra MAGA and has made comments like women shouldn’t be allowed to vote. News came out yesterday about his Porn addiction back in the 90’s. He used to visit on a daily basis.

     
    This is interesting and surprising
    =======================
    Since Kamala Harris launched her presidential bid in July, Democrats have showered her campaign with cash. Last month alone, the vice-president raised$361m, tripling Donald Trump’s fundraising haul of $130m for the month.

    According to Harris’s campaign, she brought in $540m in the six weeks after Joe Biden withdrew from the presidential race.

    Democratic congressional candidates appear to be benefiting from this financial windfall as well, as Republicans sound the alarm about their fundraising deficit in key races that will determine control of the House and Senate in November.

    But in one crucial area, Republicans maintain a substantial cash advantage over Democrats: state legislative races. In recent years, Republicans have controlled more state legislative chambers than Democrats, giving them more power over those states’ budgets, election laws and abortion policies.


    The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC), which supports the party’s state legislative candidates, has raised $35m between the start of 2023 and the end of this June, the committee told the Guardian. In comparison, the Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC) – which invests in an array of state-level campaigns, like supreme court races, in addition to legislative campaigns – has raised $62m in the same time period.

    That resource gap is now rearing its head in key battleground states, the DLCC says. In Pennsylvania, a crucial state for the presidential and congressional maps, Republican state legislative candidates have spent $4.5m on paid advertisements, compared to $1.4m for Democratic candidates.……

     
    While most analyses have identified Montana as the most likely tipping point state for control of the Senate in 2024, there are races in Texas, Florida and potentially Nebraska that appear about as competitive as Montana and could give Democrats a path to the majority.

    With Democrats defending Senate seats in swing states including Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada, Democratic Sen. John Tester’s race to keep his seat in Montana appears to be the most likely pickup for Republicans’ Senate effort this year.

    First elected in 2006, Tester defended his seat in the 2012 and 2018 elections despite the state consistently supporting Republicans up and down the ballot. Now, however, he’s trailing Republican opponent Tim Sheehy in most polls. The importance of this race is reflected in the ad spending in the state with Axios reporting that Democrats are spending upwards of $150 per voter on ads in Montana with Republicans spending nearly $130 per voter in the state.

    There are, however, a few races that look similarly close to the Montana race in the polls.

    In Texas, Democratic Rep. Colin Allred trails Republican Sen. Ted Cruz by just four points, 43% to 47%, according to a recent Texas Public Opinion Research survey. Other recent surveys have found similar results, with a Morning Consult poll finding Cruz ahead by five points and an Emerson College and The Hill survey finding Cruz leading by four points.

    Allred is pitching himself as a centrist Democrat and his messaging has been focused on protecting Social Security benefits, support for the bipartisan border bill, and abortion. The former Tennessee Titan’s campaign is also the first statewide Democratic campaign in recent years to launch a coordinated campaign with the state Democratic Party, meaning the state party, the Allred campaign and down-ballot candidates are pooling information and resources to coordinate voter outreach. The campaign has also outraised Cruz’s campaign every quarter thus far and has had ads on the air since mid-May.

    While there have been signs that the race has been tightening, the research director at the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin, Joshua Blank, cautions that “for Democrats to be competitive it requires significant turnout from their voters it also requires groups that aren’t as attached to the Republican Party to break their way.”

    “That’s ultimately what happened in 2018 but it’s not clear that that’s what’s going to happen in 2024,” Blank said. “The other story here is that there’s been so much variance in Texas election results in the past decade and it’s not clear what sort of election it’s going to be.”

    In Blank’s assessment, it would take something “shocking,” like a mass shooting, a death resulting from the state’s outright abortion ban or another mass power outage to make the race closer to a toss-up.

    Florida is the other state where a Democratic challenger, Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, is hoping to unseat a Republican incumbent, Sen. Rick Scott.

    In the race, Emerson College and The Hill polling found Murcarsel-Powell trailing Scott by just one point earlier this month. Other surveys have found a larger margin for Scott, with a Redfield and Wilton Strategies survey sponsored by The Telegraph finding a three-point lead and a Morning Consult survey finding Scott leading by five points................

     
    DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — Joe Wiederien was an unlikely candidate to challenge a Republican congressman in one of the nation’s most competitive House districts.

    A fervent supporter of former President Donald Trump, Wiederien was registered as a Republican until months earlier. A debilitating stroke had left him unable to drive. He had never run for office. For a time, he couldn’t vote because of a felony conviction.

    But he arrived last month at the Iowa Capitol with well over the 1,726 petition signatures needed to qualify for the ballot as a conservative alternative to first-term Republican Rep. Zach Nunn. After filing the paperwork, he flashed a thumbs up across the room at an operative he knew only as “Johnny.”

    Several other unorthodox candidates have emerged across the country—all backed by the same shadowy group, the Patriots Run Project.

    For the past year, the group has recruited Trump supporters to run as independent candidates in key swing districts where they could siphon votes from Republicans in races that will help determine which party controls the House next year, an Associated Press review has found. In addition to two races in Iowa, the group recruited candidates in Nebraska, Montana, Virginia and Minnesota. All six recruits described themselves as retired, disabled—or both.

    The group's operation provides few clues about its management, financing or motivation. But interviews, text messages, emails, business filings and other documents reviewed by the AP show that a significant sum has been spent—and some of it traces back to Democratic consulting firms.

    While dirty tricks are as old as American elections, the efforts this year could have profound consequences in the fight to control Congress, which is expected to be decided by a handful of races. It's also not an isolated example: Allies of Trump have been working across the U.S. to get liberal academic Cornel West on the ballot in hopes he could play spoiler in the presidential election.

    “At that time I was thinking, well, it would be nice to be in Congress and get to work with President Trump,” Wiederien, 54, reflected in an interview outside the Veterans Affairs hospital in Des Moines, where he was seeking treatment for a leaking incision on his head from previous brain surgery. “It looks like it’s a dirty trick now.”

    Wiederien withdrew his candidacy last month after he says it became clear he'd been manipulated into running against Nunn. Now he wants an investigation to uncover the motives of those who made his candidacy possible.

    As with other recruits, his story begins with Facebook, where the Patriots Run Project operated a series of pro-Trump pages and ran ads that used apocalyptic rhetoric to attack establishment politicians in both parties while urging conservatives to run in November.

    “We need American Patriots like YOU to stand for freedom with President Trump and take back control from the globalist elites by running for office,” one such ad states.

    Some candidates say they were contacted because of their political posts on Facebook. Two others said the group reached out after they completed an online survey.

    Once recruited, they communicated with a handful of operatives through text messages, emails and phone calls. In-person contact was limited. Run Patriots Project advised them about what forms to fill out and how to file required paperwork....................


     
    Something’s up in NC.


    My sister is in Raleigh and there have been reports on the story coming out. No idea what it is but she thinks it might be some crazy kink fetish stuff. Most people wouldn’t care about that unless it is “rape” type fetish or children. That is my opinion and I am not saying that is happening.
     
    My sister is in Raleigh and there have been reports on the story coming out. No idea what it is but she thinks it might be some crazy kink fetish stuff. Most people wouldn’t care about that unless it is “rape” type fetish or children. That is my opinion and I am not saying that is happening.
    Could be homoerotic stuff - that would lose him votes too. (with his voters - not normal voters).
     
    It might be about Nazis. That won’t move the MAGA voter’s needle, IMO.

     
    I thought it would be kiddy porn or something like that.
     
    Waiting for the story to see if this is accurate, but... it feels like this wouldn't move the needle, given the current state of the GOP.

     
    It’s out

    Damn, they really nailed down that there was no doubt it was him, receipt after receipt with pics and all, lol. I feel like the liking transgender porn thing might lose him some support. Not that he was going to win without this.

    I've never understood those that hate their own people. You have to be really damaged as a black man to have the disgust that he does for other black people.
     
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    I have to imagine the ads coming from the dems will be Trump endorsing him. Also @coldseat The T word for transgender is the equivalent of the F word for gay people. It is considered derogatory. I know you don’t mean it to be that way.
     
    I have to imagine the ads coming from the dems will be Trump endorsing him. Also @coldseat The T word for transgender is the equivalent of the F word for gay people. It is considered derogatory. I know you don’t mean it to be that way.

    Noted and corrected.
     
    It’s out

    "“This is not us. These are not our words. And this is not anything that is characteristic of me,” Robinson said. Presented with the litany of evidence connecting him with the minisoldr user name on Nude Africa, Robinson said, “I’m not going to get into the minutia of how somebody manufactured this, these salacious tabloid lies.”"

    The man is trying to clam the deep state started framing him nearly 20 years ago. lol
     
    I know it wasn’t meant in a derogatory way and not intentional. I only know because my son is Trans and we had a teacher call trans people that in class and it caused a huge issue.

    I know better, so I took no offense to the correction. I had just finished reading the article and was using Robinson's words in the article without thinking about it.
     

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