Other Election Races 2024 (1 Viewer)

[Nebaghead]

Creating this thread to talk about other random races throughout the country that don’t warrant their own thread.

Starting it off with the governor race in NC. The GOP candidate Robinson is ultra MAGA and has made comments like women shouldn’t be allowed to vote. News came out yesterday about his Porn addiction back in the 90’s. He used to visit on a daily basis.

MAGA North Carolina Guv Candidate Was Regular at Porn Shop: Employee

“Every night that I worked, which would have been five nights a week, I saw Mark (Robinson),” Louis Money, who worked at Gents Video & News in Greensboro, North Carolina, said.

www.thedailybeast.com

 

[Optimus Prime]

For 2025 actually
==============
RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, the first Black woman to hold statewide office in Virginia’s long history, has officially set her sights on the state’s top political office.

The Virginia Department of Elections on Wednesday accepted the necessary documents for Earle-Sears to run for governor next year, WRIC was first to report.

Earle-Sears is the first Republican to officially enter the race for the party’s nomination in 2025. She recently said she was exploring a run.

The current governor, Republican Glenn Youngkin, cannot run for reelection because Virginia is the only state that doesn’t allow governors to run for consecutive terms.……

Virginia's conservative Black female lieutenant governor wants the top job

Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, the first Black woman to hold statewide office in Virginia’s long history, has officially set her sights on the state’s top political office.

apnews.com

 

[Optimus Prime]

AUSTIN, Texas — A Texas Republican who survived a primary assault from his own party’s right wing said Thursday that the GOP is on track to lose the House in November.

“What’s frustrating me is I firmly believe that House Republicans are going to lose the majority — and we’re going to lose it because of ourselves,” Rep. Tony Gonzales told attendees at the Texas Tribune Festival.

In his comments, Gonzales attacked a culture of blame that he said had taken over both parties in the House — a body he said has become trapped in a cycle of oppositional oversight hearings of whichever party was in power.

Gonzales faced censure from the state Republican Party for voting in favor of legislation that promoted gun safety and same-sex marriage protections.

“It’s not rocket science here. You know the economy, it’s really real. I mean, more and more middle-class Americans are falling further and further behind in access to quality health care.

“Are we talking about this? Are we talking about some of these kind of kitchen table issues? No — it’s all about who we’re going to impeach.”

Among both parties, he said, the attitude in the chamber was, “It’s someone else’s fault. … I get that part of our job is oversight — but it’s not the entire job.” He added that “it’s Congress’s job to deliver for the people. And I think we have we certainly failed in the 118th Congress…….

https://thehill.com/homenews/house/4864014-tony-gonzales-republican-house-loss/

 

[bird]

Well, in my wonderful state of Ohio we have Trump-endorsed wage thief Bernie Moreno running against Sherrod Brown. Moreno was charged with not paying overtime to workers at his car dealerships and then shredding documents about it. A page right out of Tricky Dick’s playbook.

The RW is running ads about the usual bullschlitz: illegal immigrants going on massive crime sprees everywhere and Bidenomics sucks for everyone.

I weep for Ohio.

Oh, I forgot. The AG, David “I want small government except when it benefits Republicans” Yost and Secretary of State, Frank “let’s just make it so no one can vote democratic” LaRose are flocking around with ballot initiatives regarding redistricting. The one initiative was changed from something 200 words to multiple pages. They want to make it so that it confuses voters. I would call that election interference.

 

[cuddlemonkey]

Oh, I forgot. The AG, David “I want small government except when it benefits Republicans” Yost and Secretary of State, Frank “let’s just make it so no one can vote democratic” LaRose are flocking around with ballot initiatives regarding redistricting. The one initiative was changed from something 200 words to multiple pages. They want to make it so that it confuses voters. I would call that election interference.

Isn't there a lawsuit moving forward about this?

 

[bird]

Isn't there a lawsuit moving forward about this?

I believe that is correct. Of course, the existing maps were ruled unconstitutional by the Ohio Supreme Court which didn’t stop the Republicans.

 

[Optimus Prime]

The nonpartisan group Cook Political Report has shifted half a dozen House races toward Democrats and two toward Republicans, as Democrats see their financial advantage and enthusiasm rise after Vice President Harris replaced President Biden at the top of the ticket.

The changes do away with one toss-up race and add three new ones, for a combined total of 24 toss-up contests on the table this fall.

Democrats need to net only four seats to take the majority this fall, and they appear better positioned to do so after the shake-up in the presidential race, according to the analysis. Still, the fight for the lower chamber will come down to a few dozen seats where neither party has a clear advantage at this point.

“Two months out from Election Day, Democrats’ prospects for taking control of the House are looking considerably brighter than they did two months ago. Democratic candidates are no longer burdened by an unpopular incumbent president, free to run in a political environment where Republicans no longer have a clear enthusiasm advantage, and continue to fill their campaign coffers as Republicans’ fundraising lags,” said Cook’s Erin Covey in the analysis.

The race for incumbent Rep. Don Bacon’s (R) seat in Nebraska and Rep. Michelle Steel’s (R) seat in California have both moved from “lean Republican” to “toss up.”

Bacon represents an Omaha-based district that went to Biden by six points in 2020, and Cook notes polling for Harris is even more promising. In Steel’s Orange County district, her Democratic challenger notably outraised her in the second quarter.

In Ohio, Democratic Rep. Marcy Kaptur’s race has strengthened from “toss up” to “lean Democrat.” Polls continue to show the incumbent ahead of her Republican challenger, and she’s got the fundraising advantage.

Rep. Henry Cuellar’s (D) race in Texas has become a likely seat for Democrats, and Rep. Jared Mosckowitz’s (D) in Florida has shifted into “solid” blue territory. In Iowa, Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks’s race has softened from “likely” to “lean” Republican.

Cook also moved two races toward Republicans. Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola’s race in red Alaska shifted into a toss-up, after one Trump-backed Republican candidate dropped out of the race to let the party coalesce support behind just one GOP challenger..............

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4865556-cook-political-report-house-races-democrats-republicans/

 

[bird]

I have been reading Barbara F. Walter’s book “How Civil Wars Start and How to Stop Them”.

One of the points she brings up is how elections are run. The U.S. through its entirely fallible constitution allows states to decide how to run elections. Other democracies have national election boards that establish the rules. This would eliminate the how closing polling stations, eliminating drop boxes and registration bullschlitz that goes on.

Of course, it would take an amendment and that ain’t gonna happen.

 

[LA - L.A.]

I have been reading Barbara F. Walter’s book “How Civil Wars Start and How to Stop Them”.

One of the points she brings up is how elections are run. The U.S. through its entirely fallible constitution allows states to decide how to run elections. Other democracies have national election boards that establish the rules. This would eliminate the how closing polling stations, eliminating drop boxes and registration bullschlitz that goes on.

Of course, it would take an amendment and that ain’t gonna happen.

The federal government had a lot of oversight over state elections, until The Heritage Foundation Justices on the Supreme Court gutted that oversight.

 

[Optimus Prime]

Maryland’s 6th Congressional District has been a Democratic stronghold for more than a decade, a section of the state stretching east from Cumberland to more urban Montgomery County that former congressman John Delaney flipped blue in 2012.

But, with two months left before the November general election, that may change, according to a poll released this week.

Democrat April McClain Delaney, who is married to the former congressman, is deadlocked with Republican Neil Parrott, despite her family ties to the district and a considerably larger campaign war chest.

The poll results released Thursday by Gonzales Research & Media Services show Parrott — a former state delegate who represented Washington County within the 6th Congressional District — with a two-point edge over Delaney. A fifth of those surveyed said they are still undecided. That disparity between candidates is within the 5.6-percentage-point margin of error in the poll that was conducted the last week of August.

“Parrott is performing very well with his GOP voters and is dipping into Delaney’s base at twice the rate she’s snatching Republicans from him,” Patrick E. Gonzales, the poll’s author, wrote in a synopsis of the results.

The candidates are vying to replace Rep. David Trone (D-Md.), who did not seek reelection to run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.)

Trone lost the Senate primary to Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks, who will face former Maryland governor Larry Hogan, a Republican, in November.

In the race to replace Trone, Delaney has far outraised Parrott, with about two-thirds of the $3 million she had in total receipts by the end of the June filing period coming from personal loans, according to the Federal Election Commission.

Delaney has used those funds to spread her message and name across the district through campaign ads. She’s allocated more than $1.1 million over the past six months to paid media, according to AdImpact, a media tracking firm.

Parrott, who raised about $555,000 by the end of June, has spent $24,624 on ads during the same period..............

MSN

https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2024/09/06/neil-parrott-april-delaney-race/

 

[MT15]

I found this interesting thread on Twitter about the MT senate race. It provides a glimpse into how pollsters can influence results.

 

[Taurus]

I found this interesting thread on Twitter about the MT senate race. It provides a glimpse into how pollsters can influence results.

I had the same experience with a "poll" about the local Congressional race. A few seemingly legit questions, followed by exaggerated claims about the Democrat. Then more asks about whether the claims changed my mind.

Also, I've learned to always say I'm an independent when a pollster calls. If I say I'm a Democrat, they hang up.

 

[Optimus Prime]

Nancy Pelosi says in a new interview that her party will take on the Senate’s filibuster rule in some fashion if a Democratic majority returns to the chamber next year.

The California representative and Speaker Emerita spoke to Rolling Stone for a new interview in which she said that Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, who is expected to continue leading the Democratic Senate caucus come 2025, vowed to her that he would get his party’s landmark piece of voting rights legislation — the For The People Act — past the Senate’s 60-vote filibuster threshold if Democrats win a majority in the chamber this November.

“We have to win the Senate. [Schumer] told me that if they win, they will change the Senate in terms of the filibuster, and we would pass [the] For The People Act, which makes all the difference in the world in terms of our democracy,” the former House speaker said.

Technically, her party already has that majority. But two members of the Senate Democratic caucus, Kyrsten Sinema and Joe Manchin, have voiced opposition to changing or removing the filibuster standard and have prevented their party from doing so under nearly four years of Joe Biden’s presidency, stymieing some of the president’s main policy goals.

Both Sinema and Manchin are set to leave the chamber at the end of the year, however. Both are departing the Senate rather than fight out tough battles for re-election.

Sinema in particular was set to run as an independent after she left the Democratic Party, before it became clear she was in line to face a serious primary opponent. She then dropped out of the race entirely when polling indicated she was firmly in third place behind both her Democratic and Republican challengers............

MSN

 

[LA - L.A.]

I had the same experience with a "poll" about the local Congressional race. A few seemingly legit questions, followed by exaggerated claims about the Democrat. Then more asks about whether the claims changed my mind.

Also, I've learned to always say I'm an independent when a pollster calls. If I say I'm a Democrat, they hang up.

That sounds as much like market testing talking points as it does polling.

 

[Taurus]

That sounds as much like market testing talking points as it does polling.

Could be, for all I know. They don't say and clearly don't have a problem with lying.

 

[Optimus Prime]

The Cook Political Report shifted the Montana Senate race from “toss up” to “lean Republican” on Thursday as polls show Republican Tim Sheehy leading incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D) in a contest critical to control of the upper chamber.

The nonpartisan prognosticating group made the move with less than two months before Election Day, giving Republicans a shot in the arm in the process.

“Today we are making a major shift — moving the Montana Senate race from Toss Up to Lean Republican,” the Cook Political Report’s Jessica Taylor wrote. “This means that Republicans are now an even heavier favorite to win back control of the Senate, regardless of the result at the top of the ticket.”

Republicans need to flip only two seats in order to win back the majority that has eluded them for four years. The West Virginia seat currently occupied by retiring Sen. Joe Manchin (I-W.Va.) is a virtual certainty to go to the GOP, with Gov. Jim Justice (R) is in line to replace him.

That leaves Republicans needing one seat, with Montana serving as their best chance.

According to a recent AARP poll, Sheehy leads the three-term incumbent by 6 percentage points. He also clears the all-important 50 percent threshold in the survey…….

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4876084-montana-senate-tester-sheehy-cook-report/

 

[zztop]

I had no idea she had a sister, but this reminds me of how a few years back another politician (Paul Gosar) running for office in AZ, and his family put out a commercial urging people not to vote for him (unfortunately he still won)

Lynda Carter’s sister is running in a key Arizona race. Wonder Woman is sounding the alarm.

Pamela Carter, a right-wing abortion foe, claims to have her family's "full support" for her candidacy. Not exactly.

www.motherjones.com

“On her website, Pam claims to have her ‘family’s full support,'” Lynda Carter said in a statement to Mother Jones. “I have known Pam my entire life, which is why I sadly cannot endorse her for this or any public office.”

 

[Sendai]

I have been reading Barbara F. Walter’s book “How Civil Wars Start and How to Stop Them”.

One of the points she brings up is how elections are run. The U.S. through its entirely fallible constitution allows states to decide how to run elections. Other democracies have national election boards that establish the rules. This would eliminate the how closing polling stations, eliminating drop boxes and registration bullschlitz that goes on.

Of course, it would take an amendment and that ain’t gonna happen.

“The Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof; but the Congress may at any time by Law make or alter such Regulations, except as to the Places of chusing Senators.”

I don’t think you need an amendment.