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  1. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Man, it's a good thing we've been working real hard to make other countries like us more, and are presenting ourselves like responsible, reliable partners.
  2. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    Just a reminder… from the US Holocaust museum: "What distinguishes a concentration camp from a prison (in the modern sense) is that it functions outside of a judicial system. The prisoners are not indicted or convicted of any crime by judicial process." Just in case anyone is curious...
  3. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    We paid El Salvador to take him (and the others)
  4. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    That feels wholly unsatisfactory.
  5. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    So, what kind of avenues can the plaintiffs pursue to get more clarity on the Supreme Court ruling?
  6. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    At some point I expect a strongly worded letter.
  7. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    I'm still trying to figure out any sort of justification for not just bringing the guy home other than pure abject maliciousness.
  8. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    I know, I'm going out on a limb here. But usually there has been some legal theory to most of the administration's attempts. I disagree with most of them, but I'm also ok with different interpretations of the law and letting that play out through the courts. I just haven't seen one with this.
  9. UncleTrvlingJim

    Trump floats claims for Canada, Greenland, and the Panama Canal (Update: Trump wants Gaza too)

    I mean it's not likely to work, but I prefer that to threatening to annex them through military or economic pressure.
  10. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    Is there a reasonable legal justification for this? Also, what's the declared logic of the government at this point in time? They detained and deported a man with full legal rights in the United States and shipped him to a prison in El Salvador without ever charging him with a crime.
  11. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    It helps that it was unanimous. It also should be obvious, I hate that I wasn't certain it would go unanimously.
  12. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    Dearborn's endorsement of Trump will be one of the biggest political self-own's in history.
  13. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    As @efil4 said, not within my 401k plan. But yes, outside your retirement accounts you trigger capital gains tax.... long term capital gains are taxed at 0, 15 or 20% depending on your income level. Short term capital gains are taxed as ordinary income. It's generally why long term dollar cost...
  14. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Red lobster is off the table. I did not sell yesterday...
  15. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    If this run up continues to get us close to our previous highs I'll probably sell off again - unless I think we're on a more stable predictable path.The previous system we had was close to optimal for corporate profits, so deviation from it is likely to be harmful in the short term, which will...
  16. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    yeah... mostly luck, I didn't anticipate this kind of move. but i'm taking the family to red lobster tonight.
  17. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    It's wishful thinking right now that the fed would do an emergency rate cut. They still don't know the long term effects of this tariff insanity... if they stick we'll have slower growth (or negative growth) and higher inflation. And they'll need to decide what they'll tackle first.
  18. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Is this like the rumor 2 days ago that tariffs were going to be paused?
  19. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Yeah, I expect that we have further to go down, but I don't know where it is... and I'm ok with just taking the sure thing. Technically what I did was "dumb" b/c timing the market is tough... but it was so frothy and Trump is a guarantee volatility maker, I figured it was ok.I wouldn't be...
  20. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    so, i had moved almost my entire portfolio to cash a couple weeks ago (i had mentioned it here). I'm probably going to push it back in now. If tariffs stick long term, the market will decline further, but if they do get lifted soon, this is probably close to the bottom.. i generally don't go...
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