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  1. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    I think this is what they call a rhetorical question.
  2. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    It's a bit ridiculous... backpacking culture in Europe and Australia is really prevalent among kids graduating high school and college. After college I took a summer off to hitch hike around the middle east, and I met a ton of Europeans and Australians who were doing it for a year or more.
  3. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Me too... this is the problem with so much uncertainty. I think if you have a long horizon (more than 10 years), keeping them in a diversified stock portfolio is probably your best bet.
  4. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    The problem is if the dollar gets devalued and inflation ramps up, you do not want to be holding a lot of cash.
  5. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Maybe depress assets and have his friends scoop them up on the cheap, and then stop doing the most crazy stuff, and let the market return to normal? IDK, just spit balling here. I always assume some sort of grift with Trump... but he could just be stupid.
  6. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    I'm starting to think i shouldn't have gotten back in the market... I think it's going to get bad. I'm not pulling out again, I saved myself a 20% shave, so I'll be happy with that... but I think there's a really good chance for another 20-30% drop and then a very long, slow recovery.Unless...
  7. UncleTrvlingJim

    What the hell is DOGE doing on US government IT systems? (Whistleblower report)

    Not getting nearly enough attention. There's just so much crap going on it's hard to focus, but this is just as ridiculous and lawless as so many other things.
  8. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    Man, it's a good thing we've been working real hard to make other countries like us more, and are presenting ourselves like responsible, reliable partners.
  9. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    Just a reminder… from the US Holocaust museum: "What distinguishes a concentration camp from a prison (in the modern sense) is that it functions outside of a judicial system. The prisoners are not indicted or convicted of any crime by judicial process." Just in case anyone is curious...
  10. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    We paid El Salvador to take him (and the others)
  11. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    That feels wholly unsatisfactory.
  12. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    So, what kind of avenues can the plaintiffs pursue to get more clarity on the Supreme Court ruling?
  13. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    At some point I expect a strongly worded letter.
  14. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    I'm still trying to figure out any sort of justification for not just bringing the guy home other than pure abject maliciousness.
  15. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    I know, I'm going out on a limb here. But usually there has been some legal theory to most of the administration's attempts. I disagree with most of them, but I'm also ok with different interpretations of the law and letting that play out through the courts. I just haven't seen one with this.
  16. UncleTrvlingJim

    Trump floats claims for Canada, Greenland, and the Panama Canal (Update: Trump wants Gaza too)

    I mean it's not likely to work, but I prefer that to threatening to annex them through military or economic pressure.
  17. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    Is there a reasonable legal justification for this? Also, what's the declared logic of the government at this point in time? They detained and deported a man with full legal rights in the United States and shipped him to a prison in El Salvador without ever charging him with a crime.
  18. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    It helps that it was unanimous. It also should be obvious, I hate that I wasn't certain it would go unanimously.
  19. UncleTrvlingJim

    Will “mass deportation” actually happen

    Dearborn's endorsement of Trump will be one of the biggest political self-own's in history.
  20. UncleTrvlingJim

    The trade and economy mega-thread

    As @efil4 said, not within my 401k plan. But yes, outside your retirement accounts you trigger capital gains tax.... long term capital gains are taxed at 0, 15 or 20% depending on your income level. Short term capital gains are taxed as ordinary income. It's generally why long term dollar cost...
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